Week 6
Saints vs. NYG
2026-10-18 · MetLife Stadium · Archived game model and play-by-play summary
Final
34-27
W 34-27
Model transparency
Archived game model transparency
Drive EPA, win probability timeline, and play explorer data are bundled outputs for a completed game.
Archived 2026
Game detail rollup · Week 6, 2026
Treat this output as archived context, not a current prediction.
Quick explanation
View data and model details
The warning above stays visible; detailed source, input, and limitation notes are tucked away for a cleaner fan dashboard.
Opponent comparison
Both sides are measured the same way from the bundled league profiles. A row stays pending when no profile matches the opponent.
Saints offense vs opponent defensehistorical · historical
Saints offense: -0.043
NYG defense: +0.028
Advantage: opponent
Saints EPA per play on offense against the EPA per play this defense allowed across their own season.
Data window: 2026 season through Week 6 · 6 Saints games · Source: Bundled nflverse league team profiles
Saints defense vs opponent offensehistorical · historical
Saints defense: +0.071
NYG offense: -0.007
Advantage: opponent
EPA per play the Saints defense allowed against what this offense produced. Lower is better for the Saints.
Data window: 2026 season through Week 6 · 6 Saints games · Source: Bundled nflverse league team profiles
Offensive success rate vs allowedhistorical · historical
Saints success rate: 41.9%
NYG success allowed: 44.1%
Advantage: opponent
Share of Saints plays that stayed on schedule against the share this defense allowed to.
Data window: 2026 season through Week 6 · 6 Saints games · Source: Bundled nflverse league team profiles
Archived 2026
Archived game data: Week 6, 2026
Drive EPA, win probability, and play explorer views are archived model outputs for this completed game.
- Last updated:
- 2026-10-18
- Source:
- 2026 game model dataset
Drive-by-Drive EPA
Each bar captures the expected points added generated on every Saints possession.
Field Position Map
Drive start and end points plotted on a virtual field.
0
10
20
30
40
5050
60
70
80
90
100
Drive 2Punt · 5 plays · 2:11
Drive 4Punt · 3 plays · 3:14
Drive 6Punt · 3 plays · 1:13
Drive 8Missed field goal · 11 plays · 4:19
Drive 10Field goal · 7 plays · 1:09
Drive 11Touchdown · 5 plays · 1:10
Drive 13Touchdown · 5 plays · 2:39
Drive 15Touchdown · 9 plays · 4:49
Drive 17Field goal · 6 plays · 3:04
Drive 19Punt · 3 plays · 2:09
Drive 21Touchdown · 2 plays · 0:48
Drive 23Turnover · 2 plays · 0:51
Drive 25Punt · 3 plays · 1:06
Drive 27Punt · 3 plays · 1:07
Drive 29Punt · 3 plays · 1:07
Drive 31End of half · 1 plays · 0:06
Drives are mapped across the field from the Saints' goal line (0) to the opponent's end zone (100).
Win Probability Timeline
Quarter-by-quarter swing in the archived model win projection.
QB Play Quality Breakdown
Heuristic buckets classify each dropback by intent, accuracy, pressure response, and decision quality.
Accurate: 29% · Sustain: 29%
Explosive: 14% · Panic: 3% · Negative: 0%
Ball placement wavered, dragging down the catchable rate.
Play Explorer
Filter by down, distance, route concept, and personnel to dig into the Saints play selection.
| Drive | Quarter | Clock | Down & Distance | Route | Alignment | Yards | EPA | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO2 | Q1 | 14:09 | 1&10 | Run middle | Shotgun | 2 | -0.39 | (14:09) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller up the middle to NO 41 for 2 yards (52-A.Reese). |
| NO2 | Q1 | 13:31 | 2&8 | Run middle | Under center | 11 | 1.31 | (13:31) 43-C.Donaldson up the middle to NYG 48 for 11 yards (8-J.Holland). |
| NO2 | Q1 | 12:58 | 1&10 | Short right | Under center | 0 | -0.52 | (12:58) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right to 87-N.Fant. |
| NO2 | Q1 | 12:55 | 2&10 | Run left tackle | Under center | 4 | -0.48 | (12:55) 5-K.Miller left tackle to NYG 44 for 4 yards (98-D.Reader). |
| NO2 | Q1 | 12:12 | 3&6 | Short left | Shotgun | 0 | -1.79 | (12:12) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short left to 12-C.Olave (2-D.Banks). |
| NO2 | Q1 | 12:08 | 4&6 | punt | Under center | 0 | 0.03 | (12:08) 17-R.Wright punts 37 yards to NYG 7, Center-49-Z.Wood, downed by NO-44-I.Stalbird. |
| NO4 | Q1 | 05:08 | 1&10 | Run right guard | Under center | 5 | 0.02 | (5:08) 5-K.Miller right guard to NO 37 for 5 yards (49-T.Edmunds). |
| NO4 | Q1 | 04:23 | 2&5 | Dropback | Shotgun | 0 | -1.30 | (4:23) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 43-C.Donaldson to NO 39 for 2 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux). PENALTY on NO-72-A.Richards, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NO 37 - No Play. |
| NO4 | Q1 | 03:59 | 2&15 | Dropback | Shotgun | 0 | -0.89 | (3:59) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 41-A.Kamara to NO 45 for 18 yards (2-D.Banks). PENALTY on NO-72-A.Richards, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NO 27 - No Play. |
| NO4 | Q1 | 03:37 | 2&25 | Short right | Shotgun | 0 | -0.81 | (3:37) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 5-K.Miller to NO 17 for no gain (49-T.Edmunds). |
| NO4 | Q1 | 02:50 | 3&25 | Deep middle | Shotgun | 16 | 0.40 | (2:50) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass deep middle to 14-D.Vele to NO 33 for 16 yards (24-A.Washington). |
| NO4 | Q1 | 02:07 | 4&9 | punt | Under center | 0 | 0.72 | (2:07) 17-R.Wright punts 53 yards to NYG 14, Center-49-Z.Wood, fair catch by 89-C.Jones. |
| NO6 | Q1 | 00:21 | 1&10 | Run left guard | Under center | 3 | -0.22 | (:21) 43-C.Donaldson left guard to NO 44 for 3 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 8-J.Holland). |
| NO6 | Q2 | 15:00 | 2&7 | Run left guard | Under center | 0 | -0.85 | (15:00) 41-A.Kamara left guard to NO 44 for no gain (24-A.Washington). |
| NO6 | Q2 | 14:23 | 3&7 | Short right | Shotgun | 0 | -1.49 | (14:23) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right to 83-J.Johnson (8-J.Holland). |
| NO6 | Q2 | 14:20 | 4&7 | no play | Under center | 0 | -0.33 | (14:20) (Punt formation) PENALTY on NO, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at NO 44 - No Play. |
| NO6 | Q2 | 14:20 | 4&12 | punt | Under center | 0 | 0.38 | (14:20) 17-R.Wright punts 49 yards to NYG 12, Center-49-Z.Wood. 89-C.Jones to NYG 17 for 5 yards (25-D.Richardson). |
| NO8 | Q2 | 11:10 | 1&10 | Short left | Shotgun | 0 | -0.54 | (11:10) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short left to 14-D.Vele. |
| NO8 | Q2 | 11:05 | 2&10 | Short right | Shotgun | 3 | -0.29 | (11:05) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 12-C.Olave to NO 27 for 3 yards (24-A.Washington). |
| NO8 | Q2 | 10:35 | 3&7 | Short right | Shotgun | 7 | 1.51 | (10:35) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 18-B.Lance to NO 34 for 7 yards (20-G.Newsome). |
| NO8 | Q2 | 10:05 | 1&10 | Run left end | Shotgun, no huddle | 2 | -0.38 | (10:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara left end to NO 36 for 2 yards (48-T.Ford; 22-A.Phillips). |
| NO8 | Q2 | 09:28 | 2&8 | Short left | Shotgun | 0 | -0.72 | (9:28) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short left to 14-D.Vele. |
| NO8 | Q2 | 09:21 | 3&8 | Dropback | Shotgun | 9 | 1.76 | (9:21) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough scrambles up the middle to NO 45 for 9 yards (22-A.Phillips). |
| NO8 | Q2 | 08:32 | 1&10 | Short left | Under center | 18 | 1.22 | (8:32) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 14-D.Vele pushed ob at NYG 37 for 18 yards (22-A.Phillips). |
| NO8 | Q2 | 07:54 | 1&10 | Deep left | Shotgun | 0 | -0.43 | (7:54) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete deep left to 41-A.Kamara. NO-41-A.Kamara was injured during the play. |
| NO8 | Q2 | 07:46 | 2&10 | Short left | Under center | 0 | -0.75 | (7:46) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 5-K.Miller to NYG 37 for no gain (52-A.Reese). |
| NO8 | Q2 | 06:59 | 3&10 | Short right | Shotgun | 0 | -1.66 | (6:59) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right to 18-B.Lance. |
| NO8 | Q2 | 06:56 | 4&10 | field goal | Under center | 0 | -2.89 | (6:56) 10-D.Carlson 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright. |
| NO10 | Q2 | 02:20 | 1&10 | Run middle | Shotgun | 4 | -0.07 | (2:20) (Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara up the middle to NO 48 for 4 yards (20-G.Newsome; 98-D.Reader). ** Injury Update: NO-41-A.Kamara has returned to the game. |
| NO10 | Q2 | 02:00 | 2&6 | Short right | Shotgun | 0 | -0.49 | (2:00) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right to 41-A.Kamara (20-G.Newsome). |
| NO10 | Q2 | 01:57 | 3&6 | Short middle | Shotgun | 12 | 1.42 | (1:57) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short middle to 12-C.Olave to NYG 40 for 12 yards (49-T.Edmunds). ** Injury Update: NO-43-C.Donaldson has returned to the game. |
| NO10 | Q2 | 01:35 | 1&10 | Short right | Shotgun, no huddle | 0 | -0.30 | (1:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right to 43-C.Donaldson. |
| NO10 | Q2 | 01:30 | 2&10 | Short middle | Shotgun | 0 | -0.39 | (1:30) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short middle to 83-J.Johnson (25-J.Pinnock). |
| NO10 | Q2 | 01:27 | 3&10 | Deep left | Shotgun | 0 | -1.93 | (1:27) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete deep left to 18-B.Lance. |
| NO10 | Q2 | 01:23 | 4&10 | field goal | Under center | 0 | 2.81 | (1:23) 10-D.Carlson 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright. |
| NO11 | Q2 | 01:11 | 1&10 | Dropback | Under center | 25 | 2.24 | (1:11) 6-T.Shough scrambles right end to NYG 3 for 25 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 20-G.Newsome). |
| NO11 | Q2 | 00:51 | 1&3 | Run right end | Shotgun | -2 | -0.87 | (:51) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough right end pushed ob at NYG 5 for -2 yards (8-J.Holland). |
| NO11 | Q2 | 00:45 | 2&5 | Run right guard | Shotgun | 4 | -0.09 | (:45) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller right guard to NYG 1 for 4 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux). |
| NO11 | Q2 | 00:39 | 3&1 | Run middle | Shotgun | -1 | -1.92 | (:39) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller up the middle to NYG 2 for -1 yards (98-D.Reader). |
| NO11 | Q2 | 00:05 | 4&2 | Short middle | Shotgun | 2 | 4.09 | (:05) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short middle to 18-B.Lance for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. |
| NO13 | Q3 | 14:54 | 1&10 | Run | Under center | 0 | -0.59 | (14:54) 5-K.Miller right guard to NO 24 for 3 yards (98-D.Reader; 93-S.Harris). PENALTY on NO, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at NO 21 - No Play. |
| NO13 | Q3 | 14:30 | 1&15 | Short left | Under center | 8 | 0.28 | (14:30) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 4-O.Delp pushed ob at NO 24 for 8 yards (2-D.Banks). |
| NO13 | Q3 | 14:02 | 2&7 | Run right end | Under center | 17 | 1.78 | (14:02) 43-C.Donaldson right end ran ob at NO 41 for 17 yards (8-J.Holland). |
| NO13 | Q3 | 13:38 | 1&10 | Dropback | Shotgun, no huddle | 0 | 1.04 | (13:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on NYG-5-K.Thibodeaux, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at NO 41 - No Play. |
| NO13 | Q3 | 13:32 | 1&10 | Run right guard | Under center | 11 | 0.83 | (13:32) 41-A.Kamara right guard to NYG 33 for 11 yards (49-T.Edmunds). |
| NO13 | Q3 | 13:08 | 1&10 | Run middle | Shotgun, no huddle | 2 | -0.33 | (13:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara up the middle to NYG 31 for 2 yards (97-B.Jamison-Travis). |
| NO13 | Q3 | 12:31 | 2&8 | Short right | Shotgun | 31 | 3.61 | (12:31) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 41-A.Kamara for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. |
| NO15 | Q3 | 10:32 | 1&10 | Run middle | Under center | 8 | 0.46 | (10:32) 5-K.Miller up the middle to NYG 44 for 8 yards (49-T.Edmunds). |
| NO15 | Q3 | 09:57 | 2&2 | Run middle | Under center | 11 | 0.76 | (9:57) 5-K.Miller up the middle to NYG 33 for 11 yards (8-J.Holland; 93-S.Harris). |
| NO15 | Q3 | 09:20 | 1&10 | Run middle | Under center | 0 | -0.42 | (9:20) 5-K.Miller up the middle to NYG 33 for no gain (52-A.Reese; 2-D.Banks). |
| NO15 | Q3 | 08:36 | 2&10 | Short left | Under center | 10 | 1.17 | (8:36) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 12-C.Olave to NYG 23 for 10 yards (2-D.Banks). Penalty on NYG-2-D.Banks, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. |
| NO15 | Q3 | 08:12 | 1&10 | Short right | Under center | 8 | 0.57 | (8:12) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 14-D.Vele pushed ob at NYG 15 for 8 yards (8-J.Holland). |
| NO15 | Q3 | 07:35 | 2&2 | Run right guard | Shotgun | 6 | 0.16 | (7:35) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller right guard to NYG 9 for 6 yards (97-B.Jamison-Travis). |
| NO15 | Q3 | 06:55 | 1&9 | Run middle | Shotgun | 8 | 0.99 | (6:55) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller up the middle to NYG 1 for 8 yards (8-J.Holland). |
| NO15 | Q3 | 06:11 | 2&1 | Run middle | Under center | 0 | -0.43 | (6:11) 43-C.Donaldson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 43-C.Donaldson up the middle to NYG 1 for no gain |
| NO15 | Q3 | 05:48 | 3&1 | Run middle | Under center | 1 | 1.31 | (5:48) 6-T.Shough up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. |
| NO17 | Q3 | 04:16 | 1&10 | Run left guard | Under center | 4 | -0.05 | (4:16) 5-K.Miller left guard to NO 42 for 4 yards (93-S.Harris). |
| NO17 | Q3 | 03:35 | 2&6 | Run middle | Under center | 15 | 1.71 | (3:35) 41-A.Kamara up the middle to NYG 43 for 15 yards (31-N.Jones). PENALTY on NYG-31-N.Jones, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 43. |
| NO17 | Q3 | 03:04 | 1&10 | Short right | Under center | 2 | -0.43 | (3:04) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 4-O.Delp pushed ob at NYG 36 for 2 yards (24-A.Washington). |
| NO17 | Q3 | 02:32 | 2&8 | Run middle | Shotgun | 0 | -0.77 | (2:32) (Shotgun) 41-A.Kamara up the middle to NYG 36 for no gain (5-K.Thibodeaux). |
| NO17 | Q3 | 01:52 | 3&8 | Short left | Shotgun | 4 | -0.77 | (1:52) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 41-A.Kamara pushed ob at NYG 32 for 4 yards (22-A.Phillips). |
| NO17 | Q3 | 01:17 | 4&4 | field goal | Under center | 0 | 1.65 | (1:17) 10-D.Carlson 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright. |
| NO19 | Q4 | 14:50 | 1&10 | Run middle | Under center | 1 | -0.57 | (14:50) 5-K.Miller up the middle to NO 26 for 1 yard (98-D.Reader). |
| NO19 | Q4 | 14:06 | 2&9 | Run left tackle | Under center | 3 | -0.22 | (14:06) 5-K.Miller left tackle to NO 29 for 3 yards (98-D.Reader). |
| NO19 | Q4 | 13:24 | 3&6 | Short right | Shotgun, no huddle | 5 | -0.50 | (13:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 19-B.Brown to NO 34 for 5 yards (8-J.Holland; 49-T.Edmunds). |
| NO19 | Q4 | 12:48 | 4&1 | punt | Under center | 0 | -0.30 | (12:48) 17-R.Wright punts 48 yards to NYG 18, Center-49-Z.Wood, fair catch by 89-C.Jones. |
| NO21 | Q4 | 12:19 | 1&10 | Run left tackle | Under center | 3 | -0.16 | (12:19) 5-K.Miller left tackle to NYG 18 for 3 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux; 2-D.Banks). |
| NO21 | Q4 | 11:36 | 2&7 | Deep right | Under center | 18 | 2.71 | (11:36) 6-T.Shough pass deep right to 12-C.Olave for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. |
| NO23 | Q4 | 10:22 | 1&10 | Run right guard | Under center | 7 | 0.35 | (10:22) 43-C.Donaldson right guard to NYG 49 for 7 yards (25-J.Pinnock). |
| NO23 | Q4 | 09:40 | 2&3 | Run middle | Shotgun | 1 | -5.07 | (9:40) (Shotgun) 43-C.Donaldson up the middle to NYG 48 for 1 yard (25-J.Pinnock; 52-A.Reese). FUMBLES (25-J.Pinnock), RECOVERED by NYG-52-A.Reese at NYG 48. |
| NO25 | Q4 | 06:59 | 1&10 | Run right end | Shotgun | 0 | -0.42 | (6:59) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller right end to NYG 49 for no gain (52-A.Reese). |
| NO25 | Q4 | 06:13 | 2&10 | Short right | Under center | 0 | -0.76 | (6:13) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right to 12-C.Olave. |
| NO25 | Q4 | 06:08 | 3&10 | Deep middle | Shotgun | 0 | -1.55 | (6:08) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete deep middle to 14-D.Vele [3-A.Carter]. |
| NO25 | Q4 | 06:03 | 4&10 | punt | Under center | 0 | -0.89 | (6:03) 17-R.Wright punts 32 yards to NYG 17, Center-49-Z.Wood. 89-C.Jones pushed ob at NYG 27 for 10 yards (36-L.Styles). |
| NO27 | Q4 | 05:05 | 1&10 | Run left guard | Shotgun | 2 | -0.36 | (5:05) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller left guard to NYG 47 for 2 yards (49-T.Edmunds; 48-T.Ford). |
| NO27 | Q4 | 05:01 | 2&8 | Run left guard | Shotgun | 3 | -0.30 | (5:01) (Shotgun) 5-K.Miller left guard to NYG 44 for 3 yards (98-D.Reader; 5-K.Thibodeaux). |
| NO27 | Q4 | 04:16 | 3&5 | Short middle | Shotgun | 0 | -1.39 | (4:16) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass incomplete short middle to 12-C.Olave. |
| NO27 | Q4 | 04:13 | 4&5 | punt | Under center | 0 | -0.47 | (4:13) 17-R.Wright punts 37 yards to NYG 7, Center-49-Z.Wood. 89-C.Jones pushed ob at NYG 40 for 33 yards (43-C.Donaldson). Penalty on NYG-86-T.Fidone, Illegal Blindside Block, declined. PENALTY on NY |
| NO29 | Q4 | 01:59 | 1&10 | Run left tackle | Under center | 1 | -0.51 | (1:59) 5-K.Miller left tackle to NO 26 for 1 yard (93-S.Harris; 5-K.Thibodeaux). |
| NO29 | Q4 | 01:55 | 2&9 | Run right guard | Under center | 5 | -0.25 | (1:55) 5-K.Miller right guard to NO 31 for 5 yards (98-D.Reader). |
| NO29 | Q4 | 01:51 | 3&4 | Run right guard | Under center | 1 | -0.34 | (1:51) 5-K.Miller right guard to NO 32 for 1 yard (91-D.Alexander). |
| NO29 | Q4 | 01:06 | 4&3 | punt | Under center | 0 | -0.32 | (1:06) 17-R.Wright punts 38 yards to NYG 30, Center-49-Z.Wood. 89-C.Jones to NYG 39 for 9 yards (25-D.Richardson). PENALTY on NYG-46-Z.Barnes, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at NYG |
| NO31 | Q4 | 00:06 | 1&10 | qb kneel | Under center | -1 | 0.00 | (:06) 6-T.Shough kneels to NO 13 for -1 yards. |